The war in Ukraine has entered its third year without a decisive military outcome. Russian forces control approximately 20% of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine's military, sustained by Western support, continues to resist.
The Military Situation
The front line has been broadly static for over a year. Russia retains advantages in manpower and artillery ammunition. Ukraine has demonstrated superior adaptability and motivation.
Western Support
US and European military and financial support has been crucial. Political will in Washington has become less reliable; European support has strengthened.
Paths to Resolution
Negotiated settlement, frozen conflict, or Ukrainian military breakthrough — each scenario has profoundly different implications for European security.
Britain's Role
Britain has been among Ukraine's strongest supporters — providing weapons, training and diplomatic backing. That commitment should be maintained regardless of political changes elsewhere.