The War in Ukraine: Where Things Stand and What Comes Next

The war in Ukraine has entered its third year without a decisive military outcome. Russian forces control approximately 20% of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine's military, sustained by Western support, continues to resist.

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The Military Situation

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The front line has been broadly static for over a year. Russia retains advantages in manpower and artillery ammunition. Ukraine has demonstrated superior adaptability and motivation.

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Western Support

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US and European military and financial support has been crucial. Political will in Washington has become less reliable; European support has strengthened.

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Paths to Resolution

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Negotiated settlement, frozen conflict, or Ukrainian military breakthrough — each scenario has profoundly different implications for European security.

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Britain's Role

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Britain has been among Ukraine's strongest supporters — providing weapons, training and diplomatic backing. That commitment should be maintained regardless of political changes elsewhere.

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